US Market News

Treasury yields slip as investors await key U.S. inflation data

The U.S. 10-year Treasury fell slightly on Thursday as investors looked ahead to a key inflation report due on Friday.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury traded more than 1 basis point lower at 3.827%, while the yield on the 2-year Treasury also fell 1 basis point to 3.857%.

Yields and prices move in opposite directions. One basis point equals 0.01%.

Treasurys

It comes as market participants await a fresh batch of economic data, with focus set to turn to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge on Friday.

U.S. personal consumption expenditures price index will be published on the last trading day of August. The reading could offer more clues on the outlook for interest rates. Federal Reserve officials use the measure as their main baseline to gauge inflation.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said late last week that “the time has come for policy to adjust,” bolstering expectations for a rate cut at the central bank’s next meeting. Powell declined to provide exact indications on the timing or extent of the cut, however.

Market participants are firmly pricing in a rate cut at the Fed’s Sept. 18 meeting. Traders are currently pricing in a roughly 65.5% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut next month, with 34.5% pricing in a 50-basis-point rate cut, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.

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